Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.200834 0.232613 0.269461 0.315748 0.372910 0.441949 0.532818
2025-03-09 0.150422 0.189454 0.240122 0.312356 0.415529 0.562306 0.796254
2025-03-16 0.120167 0.160368 0.216894 0.305439 0.447235 0.678651 1.117656
2025-03-23 0.104388 0.146015 0.208552 0.314782 0.503370 0.854225 1.650528
2025-03-30 0.089924 0.130175 0.193686 0.308473 0.529667 0.988842 2.213578
2025-04-06 0.080931 0.120863 0.186776 0.313085 0.576769 1.189037 3.139146
2025-04-13 0.072492 0.110948 0.176751 0.309016 0.604362 1.361097 4.211586
2025-04-20 0.066957 0.104981 0.172406 0.314655 0.655415 1.627283 6.086570
2025-04-27 0.062676 0.100514 0.169916 0.323342 0.717466 1.974088 9.189114
2025-05-04 0.058823 0.096259 0.167049 0.330420 0.778757 2.375097 14.084459
2025-05-11 0.055671 0.092866 0.165284 0.339576 0.850658 2.894299 22.876643
2025-05-18 0.052493 0.089026 0.161987 0.344229 0.911786 3.446249 37.206424
2025-05-25 0.049357 0.084996 0.157871 0.346392 0.968702 4.076384 63.299507
2025-06-01 0.046254 0.080717 0.152658 0.344642 1.012792 4.723128 109.666746
2025-06-08 0.043113 0.076049 0.145967 0.337397 1.033885 5.278341 185.028253
2025-06-15 0.041476 0.074280 0.145604 0.348226 1.135344 6.674059 517.420219
2025-06-22 0.038910 0.070329 0.139643 0.341093 1.156666 7.469261 1146.708319
2025-06-29 0.037291 0.068228 0.137816 0.346367 1.240024 9.174922 5640.237043
2025-07-06 0.035291 0.065130 0.133188 0.341733 1.273640 10.478384 38731.172417
2025-07-13 0.034013 0.063494 0.131980 0.348164 1.371156 13.150160 NaN
2025-07-20 0.032986 0.062315 0.131775 0.358077 1.497965 17.191920 NaN
2025-07-27 0.031942 0.061004 0.131067 0.366161 1.623218 22.421933 NaN
2025-08-03 0.031056 0.059977 0.130977 0.376629 1.776434 30.398321 NaN